Why the cheapest carrier changes week to week
Each carrier's surcharge calendar is built from different windows with different start dates. UPS's per-package demand surcharge starts Sunday, Oct 26; FedEx's starts Monday, Oct 27 — so for the week of Oct 26, UPS charges its full rate while FedEx averages less. Both step up for the peak (UPS Nov 23 – Dec 27, FedEx Nov 24 – Dec 28), then step back down through mid-January. USPS does something completely different: one flat window, Oct 5 – Jan 17, with fees that vary by zone and weight instead of by week — which often makes USPS the odd one out: pricier in early October before UPS/FedEx demand fees start, but steady through the late-November peak while the others spike.
Handling fees start earlier than you think
The per-package demand fees get the headlines, but the handling-type demand premiums (additional handling, oversize, over-maximum) start almost a month earlier — Sept 28 for UPS, Sept 29 for FedEx — at $8.25 per affected package in the shoulder windows, rising to $10.80–$10.90 at the peak. If any share of your packages already incurs those year-round fees, open Advanced above and enter the percentages. Exact tables, formulas, and every source link are on the methodology page.
Frequently asked questions
What is a peak-season demand surcharge?
Demand (peak) surcharges are temporary per-package fees carriers stack on top of normal rates during the holiday rush. They're separate from base rates, fuel surcharges, and year-round residential and handling fees, and many negotiated contracts waive or discount them.
How much is the peak surcharge for 2025-26?
Once per-package demand fees start, typical adders are $0.40–$0.65 for ground ($0.60–$0.65 at the peak), $1.05–$2.10 for express ($2.05–$2.10 at the peak), and $0.30–$2.25 for USPS by weight and zone. Handling-type premiums run $8.25 per affected package in the shoulder windows, rising to $10.80–$10.90 at the peak.
When do UPS and FedEx peak surcharges start in 2025?
Handling-type fees started late September (UPS Sept 28, FedEx Sept 29), per-package demand fees kicked in late October (UPS Oct 26, FedEx Oct 27), and everything peaks Nov 23 – Dec 28. USPS runs one flat window instead, Oct 5 – Jan 17, varying by zone and weight rather than by week.
Which carrier is cheapest during peak season?
It changes week to week, because each carrier's windows start on different dates — UPS's demand surcharge starts Sunday Oct 26, FedEx's Monday Oct 27, so the ranking flips in straddle weeks. USPS is often pricier in early October but steadier through the late-November peak. The calculator names the cheapest carrier for every week.
Does this calculator predict my total shipping invoice?
No. It computes published list surcharges only — the peak-surcharge delta. It excludes base rates, fuel surcharges, DAS/EDAS, year-round residential and handling fees, and DIM weight, and never extrapolates next season's unpublished rates. Many negotiated contracts also waive or discount demand surcharges.